NY Republican Incumbents - have a forty on me


By DIA, Section News
Posted on Fri Sep 29, 2006 at 05:54:18 AM EST

Republicans aren't releasing their internal polls so all we have to look at are independent polls or democratic internal polls. Here'e the picture:

NY-29: Massa (D) 42%--42% Kuhl (R) (Late September)

NY-24: Arcuri (D) 40%--36% Meier (R) (July 30).

NY-25: Walsh (R) 44%--40% Maffei (D) (Internal poll, September 21)

NY-19: Kelley (R) 49%--44% Hall (D) (Internal poll, September 17th).

NY-26: 45 percent, Davis at 43 percent - Indepedent Poll, September

NY - 20 Siena had Sweeney at 53%, IInternal poll had him at 47%

Looks like Sweeney is the leader here by being the only one to poll above 50%. A rough year for them if the good news is the guy who is doing the best is right at the traditional "trouble" level of 50%.

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NY Republican Incumbents - have a forty on me | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 hidden)
It will be interesting (none / 0) (#1)
by alfrednewman on Fri Sep 29, 2006 at 06:25:25 AM EST
As I said before, I have little faith self serving internal polls (if you want to get paid for polling its always 'close').

I do have to wonder how the pathetic Republican slate is going to effect the over all turn out.

Is the fact that the Democrats expect to sweep every state wide election going to hurt or help Sweeney and the rest?

I know its easy to say that the coming blow out will help the Dem challengers, but without their actually being any races can the Dems motiate the base?

My understanding is that low voter turn outs help the incumbents.
 
"What? Me worry? " "whatmeworry.alfred@gmail.com"

NY Republican Incumbents - have a forty on me | 1 comment (1 topical, 0 hidden)
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